Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRB prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 55.440556 65.010960 75.455139 87.662233 101.499545 116.658339 134.480575
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 41.252975 54.082946 69.391294 88.840110 112.712963 140.872097 176.394115
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 31.453809 45.130774 62.650592 86.393993 117.341240 155.885044 207.034390
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 25.780080 39.936736 59.182043 86.681209 124.292574 173.186205 240.667882
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 21.915329 36.352671 57.035363 87.972576 132.055317 191.453946 276.136992
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.974322 30.274989 50.404669 81.967719 128.847907 194.320175 290.699329
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.999538 28.392584 49.584544 84.086257 137.030783 213.058231 327.762407
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 12.756728 25.672600 47.057447 83.212739 140.518889 225.085464 355.759590
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 12.054444 25.472222 48.496833 88.585704 153.728816 251.881095 406.315982
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.782689 22.049266 44.106882 83.998534 150.916444 254.432336 421.047715
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 8.991944 21.295201 44.218917 86.873902 160.134752 275.675438 464.750649
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.851835 21.807496 46.634975 93.874138 176.508685 308.791981 528.033696
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.169699 21.248560 47.290212 98.351757 189.887096 339.349963 591.254002
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 7.098865 19.683561 45.886241 99.074835 197.123694 360.848050 642.035447
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.859887 17.458588 42.834662 96.333543 197.975257 371.816224 676.413063
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.085321 16.159780 41.475542 96.642374 204.219875 392.026411 726.737137
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.506376 15.219745 40.734412 98.057398 212.530920 416.124917 784.570370
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.487264 12.825781 36.359411 91.471965 205.109232 412.284343 794.886941
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.154935 12.294942 36.216895 93.796055 215.027783 439.625445 859.852752
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.693993 11.248859 34.660196 92.837882 218.319939 455.106052 904.775293
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.610885 11.390317 36.098496 98.729361 235.840696 497.504194 998.946010
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.074373 9.850827 32.939226 93.699836 230.474097 497.025567 1016.486230
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.921138 9.619944 33.244592 96.852924 242.465891 529.833205 1095.499123